Market & Topical Perspectives

Eyes on Private Debt

Eyes on Private Debt

Broad macroeconomic uncertainty and interest rate volatility through much of 2023 continued to weigh on the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity that fuels direct lending volumes.

Key Takeaways

  • Uncertainty pressured middle market private loan formation in 2023, as macro uncertainty and still-volatile interest rates dampened the M&A activity that drives these loans. Limited new issuance industrywide focused capital deployment on existing borrowers and smaller “add-ons” by private equity sponsors.

  • Demand for asset-based lending was strong during the year, as it tends to be during times when other financing options become less plentiful—a dynamic that was particularly evident in the aftermath of the regional bank challenges.

  • New-loan volumes may increase in 2024 as stabilizing policy rates unleash pent-up M&A activity among private equity sponsors anxious to deploy dry powder.