Market & Topical Perspectives

Alternative Credit: 3Q22 Review

Alternative Credit: 3Q22 Review

The early-summer rebound in risk assets broadly proved short-lived, and an August whipsaw in sentiment reintroduced the market weakness that has characterized much of 2022.

Key Takeaways

  • Despite elevated inflation levels and slowing economic activity, leveraged loan fundamentals remain generally supportive, in our view, due in part to the strong financial condition in which most borrowers entered this downturn.

  • Interest coverage remains ample at the index level, but we’re starting to see differentiation across industries and among individual borrowers as evinced through rising distress ratios

  • While loan issuance and demand have both fallen sharply, a large volume of undeployed capital in private credit vehicles has supported the direct lending market and helped keep prices stable.

  • Conditions like those we’re currently experiencing can be challenging. Historically, however, they often have created opportunities for active managers with a patient, selective approach and a commitment to rigorous underwriting